The prevention view allows users to focus on our forecasts for countries without an ongoing armed conflict.The conflict view shows outbreak risk for countries without internal armed conflict and escalation risks for countries with an ongoing conflict.The webpage now includes forecasts of conflict risk for more than 65,000 locations in the world. Users of the webpage can now switch between three different views: Their method has benefitted from more than 8 years of research, published in the American Political Science Review, the Journal of the European Economics Association and International Interactions. Hannes Mueller (IAE-CSIC and BSE) and Christopher Rauh (University of Cambridge) have relaunched, a site that provides forecasts for outbreaks of violence and escalations into armed conflict.
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